1. Equilibrium Level of Income and Output
Equilibrium is achieved when the economy has no tendency to expand or contract — when planned aggregate spending exactly equals the income/output being produced. There are two equivalent methods to find equilibrium:
| Method | Condition | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Method 1: AD = AS | C + I = Y | Total planned expenditure equals total output/income. What producers supply is exactly what spenders demand. |
| Method 2: S = I | Planned S = Planned I | What households save equals what firms invest. Leakage (saving) = Injection (investment). |
Both methods give identical equilibrium income — they are two ways of stating the same condition.
2. Method 1 — AD = AS (Expenditure Approach)
Equilibrium where: AD = AS
Substituting C = a + bY:
Worked Example — AD = AS Method
C = 100 + 0.6Y; I = 200 (autonomous)
Step 1: Set AD = AS: 100 + 0.6Y + 200 = Y
Step 2: Solve: 300 = Y − 0.6Y = 0.4Y → Y* = 300/0.4 = ₹750
Step 3 — Verify:
- C* = 100 + 0.6 × 750 = 550
- AD = C* + I = 550 + 200 = 750 = Y* ✓
- S* = Y* − C* = 750 − 550 = 200 = I ✓
3. Method 2 — Saving = Investment (Leakage = Injection)
Equilibrium where: S = I
Saving function: S = −a + (1−b)Y = −a + MPS·Y
Setting S = I: −a + MPS·Y = I
(Same formula as before — confirming both methods are equivalent.)
Worked Example — S = I Method
C = 100 + 0.6Y → S = −100 + 0.4Y; I = 200
Set S = I: −100 + 0.4Y = 200 → 0.4Y = 300 → Y* = ₹750 ✓
Economic Interpretation of Equilibrium
| Situation | Condition | What happens | Direction of change |
|---|---|---|---|
| AD > AS (or S < I) | Planned spending > output | Firms' inventories fall below desired level → firms increase production | Income ↑ toward equilibrium |
| AD < AS (or S > I) | Output > planned spending | Unsold goods pile up as unplanned inventory → firms cut production | Income ↓ toward equilibrium |
| AD = AS (or S = I) | Planned spending = output | No unplanned inventory change → no incentive to change production | Equilibrium — stable |
4. The Investment Multiplier (K)
The Investment Multiplier (K) measures the ratio of the change in equilibrium income (ΔY) to the initial change in investment (ΔI) that caused it:
Derivation of the Multiplier Formula
Initial equilibrium: Y₁ = (a + I₁) / (1 − MPC)
After increase in investment by ΔI: Y₂ = (a + I₁ + ΔI) / (1 − MPC)
Change in income: ΔY = Y₂ − Y₁ = ΔI / (1 − MPC)
Multiplier Values at Different MPC Levels
| MPC | MPS = 1−MPC | K = 1/MPS | ΔY if ΔI = ₹100 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 0.5 | 2 | ₹200 |
| 0.6 | 0.4 | 2.5 | ₹250 |
| 0.75 | 0.25 | 4 | ₹400 |
| 0.8 | 0.2 | 5 | ₹500 |
| 0 (extreme) | 1 | 1 | ₹100 (no amplification) |
| 1 (extreme) | 0 | ∞ | Infinite (all income re-spent) |
Key relationship: Higher MPC → higher multiplier. Lower MPS → higher multiplier. The multiplier is always ≥ 1.
5. The Round-by-Round Multiplier Process
Why does income rise by more than the initial investment? Because each round of spending creates income for someone else, who then spends a fraction (MPC) of it, creating more income, and so on. This chain reaction is the multiplier in action.
Example: ΔI = ₹100, MPC = 0.6
| Round | New Income Generated (ΔY) | New Consumption (MPC × ΔY) | New Saving |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 100.00 | 60.00 | 40.00 |
| 2 | 60.00 | 36.00 | 24.00 |
| 3 | 36.00 | 21.60 | 14.40 |
| 4 | 21.60 | 12.96 | 8.64 |
| … (continues) | … | … | … |
| Total | 250.00 | 150.00 | 100.00 |
Geometric series: Total ΔY = 100 + 60 + 36 + 21.6 + ... = 100/(1−0.6) = 100/0.4 = ₹250
Total saving = ΔI = 100 — confirms the S = I condition at the new equilibrium. ✓
6. Importance and Limitations of the Multiplier
Importance
- Policy tool: Governments use the multiplier to estimate the impact of fiscal policy — an increase in government expenditure of ₹1,000 crore will raise income by K × ₹1,000 crore.
- Explains amplification: Shows why small shocks to investment (e.g., business pessimism) can cause large recessions.
- Quantifies growth strategy: Countries with higher MPC get a bigger multiplier effect from the same investment.
Limitations (Why Multiplier May Be Smaller in Practice)
| Limitation | Explanation |
|---|---|
| Imports (Leakages) | Some income spent on imports leaks out of the domestic economy, reducing the multiplier effect |
| Taxes | Taxes reduce disposable income, lowering induced consumption at each round |
| Inflation | At full employment, additional expenditure raises prices, not real output |
| Time lags | The multiplier process takes time — not all rounds happen instantly |
| Hoarding | If households hoard cash (don't spend), the chain is broken |

