1. Equilibrium Level of Income and Output

Equilibrium is achieved when the economy has no tendency to expand or contract — when planned aggregate spending exactly equals the income/output being produced. There are two equivalent methods to find equilibrium:

Method Condition Meaning
Method 1: AD = AS C + I = Y Total planned expenditure equals total output/income. What producers supply is exactly what spenders demand.
Method 2: S = I Planned S = Planned I What households save equals what firms invest. Leakage (saving) = Injection (investment).

Both methods give identical equilibrium income — they are two ways of stating the same condition.

2. Method 1 — AD = AS (Expenditure Approach)

Equilibrium where: AD = AS

C+I=Y

Substituting C = a + bY:

a+bY+I=Y

a+I=YbY=Y(1b)

Y=a+I1MPC=a+IMPS

Worked Example — AD = AS Method

C = 100 + 0.6Y; I = 200 (autonomous)

Step 1: Set AD = AS:   100 + 0.6Y + 200 = Y

Step 2: Solve:   300 = Y − 0.6Y = 0.4Y  →  Y* = 300/0.4 = ₹750

Step 3 — Verify:

  • C* = 100 + 0.6 × 750 = 550
  • AD = C* + I = 550 + 200 = 750 = Y* ✓
  • S* = Y* − C* = 750 − 550 = 200 = I ✓

3. Method 2 — Saving = Investment (Leakage = Injection)

Equilibrium where: S = I

Saving function: S = −a + (1−b)Y = −a + MPS·Y

Setting S = I:   −a + MPS·Y = I

Y=a+IMPS

(Same formula as before — confirming both methods are equivalent.)

Worked Example — S = I Method

C = 100 + 0.6Y → S = −100 + 0.4Y; I = 200

Set S = I:   −100 + 0.4Y = 200  →  0.4Y = 300  →  Y* = ₹750 ✓

Economic Interpretation of Equilibrium

Situation Condition What happens Direction of change
AD > AS (or S < I) Planned spending > output Firms' inventories fall below desired level → firms increase production Income ↑ toward equilibrium
AD < AS (or S > I) Output > planned spending Unsold goods pile up as unplanned inventory → firms cut production Income ↓ toward equilibrium
AD = AS (or S = I) Planned spending = output No unplanned inventory change → no incentive to change production Equilibrium — stable

4. The Investment Multiplier (K)

The Investment Multiplier (K) measures the ratio of the change in equilibrium income (ΔY) to the initial change in investment (ΔI) that caused it:

K=ΔYΔI

Derivation of the Multiplier Formula

Initial equilibrium: Y₁ = (a + I₁) / (1 − MPC)

After increase in investment by ΔI: Y₂ = (a + I₁ + ΔI) / (1 − MPC)

Change in income: ΔY = Y₂ − Y₁ = ΔI / (1 − MPC)

K=ΔYΔI=11MPC=1MPS

Multiplier Values at Different MPC Levels

MPC MPS = 1−MPC K = 1/MPS ΔY if ΔI = ₹100
0.50.52₹200
0.60.42.5₹250
0.750.254₹400
0.80.25₹500
0 (extreme)11₹100 (no amplification)
1 (extreme)0Infinite (all income re-spent)

Key relationship: Higher MPC → higher multiplier. Lower MPS → higher multiplier. The multiplier is always ≥ 1.

5. The Round-by-Round Multiplier Process

Why does income rise by more than the initial investment? Because each round of spending creates income for someone else, who then spends a fraction (MPC) of it, creating more income, and so on. This chain reaction is the multiplier in action.

Example: ΔI = ₹100, MPC = 0.6

Round New Income Generated (ΔY) New Consumption (MPC × ΔY) New Saving
1100.0060.0040.00
260.0036.0024.00
336.0021.6014.40
421.6012.968.64
… (continues)
Total250.00150.00100.00

Geometric series: Total ΔY = 100 + 60 + 36 + 21.6 + ... = 100/(1−0.6) = 100/0.4 = ₹250

Total saving = ΔI = 100 — confirms the S = I condition at the new equilibrium. ✓

6. Importance and Limitations of the Multiplier

Importance

  • Policy tool: Governments use the multiplier to estimate the impact of fiscal policy — an increase in government expenditure of ₹1,000 crore will raise income by K × ₹1,000 crore.
  • Explains amplification: Shows why small shocks to investment (e.g., business pessimism) can cause large recessions.
  • Quantifies growth strategy: Countries with higher MPC get a bigger multiplier effect from the same investment.

Limitations (Why Multiplier May Be Smaller in Practice)

Limitation Explanation
Imports (Leakages)Some income spent on imports leaks out of the domestic economy, reducing the multiplier effect
TaxesTaxes reduce disposable income, lowering induced consumption at each round
InflationAt full employment, additional expenditure raises prices, not real output
Time lagsThe multiplier process takes time — not all rounds happen instantly
HoardingIf households hoard cash (don't spend), the chain is broken